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with 50% of the vote, mitt romney, 47%, scott rasmussen from rasmussen reports is in new jersey. and scott, those numbers were released a few minutes ago and suggests that the rasmussen tracking poll now reflects, or is reflective of the national trend towards president obama. >> and absolutely. president obama has a slight edge at the point in team. and, but for anybody who takes these numbers and says the election is over is a misreading of what we're seeing. in each of the last two elections between october 1st and election day, the results have shifted about 3 points, so we're not sure if it will continue this time around or which direction it will shift. it raises competitive. with the debates, the vice-presidential debate and the jobs and events in the middle east to come. certain voters, people who say, yes, i am certainly going to vote, going to vote. that shows 42% romney, 41% president obama. now, that's an uncommitted at 17%. and that's-- >> persuader. and that's right, it's essentially a tossup as the uncommitted or persuadables. including people who say i'm going to
with 50% of the vote, mitt romney, 47%, scott rasmussen from rasmussen reports is in new jersey. and scott, those numbers were released a few minutes ago and suggests that the rasmussen tracking poll now reflects, or is reflective of the national trend towards president obama. >> and absolutely. president obama has a slight edge at the point in team. and, but for anybody who takes these numbers and says the election is over is a misreading of what we're seeing. in each of the last two...
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scott rasmussen from rasmussen reports is in new jersey. scott, welcome back. those are theery latest numbers released just today, 48-48. yesterday, it was romney 49-president obama 48. is governor romney losing a little of the bounce he got from the debates? >> a little bit. there's certainly been a bounce in consumer confidence since friday's jobs report, that's helping the president a little bit. in fact, the number of people who think the economy is getting worse has fallen by 10 points following that jobs report. stuart: oh, so that the jobs report, is that factored into that number which we just gave everyone, 48-48. >> yes, they, it is. stuart: so it had an impact then? >> it did have an impact, but i want to talk about the larger picture. if we go back over the last 100 days of tracking, and get rid of the bounces and the different competing news stories, these two men have been within two points of each other, 72 days of 100. within 3 points of each other, 89 days out of 100. this race is very close and when we talk about momentum shifting, it means fr
scott rasmussen from rasmussen reports is in new jersey. scott, welcome back. those are theery latest numbers released just today, 48-48. yesterday, it was romney 49-president obama 48. is governor romney losing a little of the bounce he got from the debates? >> a little bit. there's certainly been a bounce in consumer confidence since friday's jobs report, that's helping the president a little bit. in fact, the number of people who think the economy is getting worse has fallen by 10...
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rasmussen said nato commanders are taking added precautions when recruiting afghan personnel. and they're working to improve intelligence gathering on insurgents. he said there's no change in plans to withdraw all nato troops from afghanistan by the end of 2014. >>> finance ministers will take on a challenge many have taken on over the years. how to deal with social problems in the middle east. ministers will meet next week in tokyo consider creating a fund to stimulate business and increase jobs in arab nations. the g-8 ministers have given their backing to the arab spring democracy movements in tunisia and egypt. they agreed on that support at a meeting last year in france. they're nour turni they're turning attention to youth unemployment contributing to unrest in the streets. finance officials will join the meeting. it will take place on the side lines of the annual gathering of the international monetary fund and world bank. >>> greeks have seen cut after cut to their salaries and services. and there may be more to come. guch government leaders proposed budget cuts of 7.8
rasmussen said nato commanders are taking added precautions when recruiting afghan personnel. and they're working to improve intelligence gathering on insurgents. he said there's no change in plans to withdraw all nato troops from afghanistan by the end of 2014. >>> finance ministers will take on a challenge many have taken on over the years. how to deal with social problems in the middle east. ministers will meet next week in tokyo consider creating a fund to stimulate business and...
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there are 15% in a rasmussen poll that are still uncommitted. bob bennett a former republican senator from utah and byron dorgan democratic senator from north dakota is also joining us. senator dorgan, that seems like a high number. what do you make of this ahead of wednesday night's debate? >> well most polls have are you certain and then also are you leaning? this doesn't have one of those categories. you know, this is kind of like a scavenger hunt for good polling news. it is entertaining, but it doesn't matter very much. what really matters is what do the polls show how independents feel in ohio, pennsylvania, florida, wisconsin and so on? so, you know, this is a close race. i think president obama is leading in the key swing states. and this debate is going to be very interesting, viewed by a lot of americans. so i think both candidates are going intoothis thinking they really have to do well. connell: senator dorgan is right senator bennett in that the president has been leading in the polls. take nbc "wall street journal" as an example in
there are 15% in a rasmussen poll that are still uncommitted. bob bennett a former republican senator from utah and byron dorgan democratic senator from north dakota is also joining us. senator dorgan, that seems like a high number. what do you make of this ahead of wednesday night's debate? >> well most polls have are you certain and then also are you leaning? this doesn't have one of those categories. you know, this is kind of like a scavenger hunt for good polling news. it is...
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>> well they have been and we know from scott rasmussen today that the consumer confidence over the weekend shot up and boom, the president's ratings have gone up overnight since yesterday they've gone up because of that jobs number. >> yeah, that is huge. i think the president will use that. joe biden will use it in the debate. but ultimately the president believes he will win with negative because he doesn't have is a record to run on or defend. dagen: does mitt romney need to sit back and hope the president just makes some huge error at this point? >> i think he's got to keep doing what he's been doing which is to be as john said positive on the campaign trail, dagen, but also make it clear there's an alternative approach to failed policies. dagen: how do you think wednesday shakes out? what are the odds you putting on biden making a huge gaffe because that's the reason people will watch frankly. >> better than even odds that he will say something that he shouldn't say that will be a news item. and i think seriously i think this libya thing will be made an issue in that debate to set up
>> well they have been and we know from scott rasmussen today that the consumer confidence over the weekend shot up and boom, the president's ratings have gone up overnight since yesterday they've gone up because of that jobs number. >> yeah, that is huge. i think the president will use that. joe biden will use it in the debate. but ultimately the president believes he will win with negative because he doesn't have is a record to run on or defend. dagen: does mitt romney need to sit...
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rasmussen has him down by three, which is unusual. two other factors come in to play. one is the higher level of enthusiasm among republicans, 16 points higher. secondly, the undecided vote tending to go against the incumbent. so i believe that romney can come back. i think he will. i think a lot depends on the debate wednesday night. the debate is stacked to play in romney's favor. the things romney is accusing obama of owe mismanaging the economy, fast and furious, this banghazi stuff -, that can't be rebutted. what obama is accusing romney of, being a tax cheat, swiss bank accounts, all that kind of stuff, can be rebutted. >> sean: what obama will say -- thus this will be mostly on the economy. obama will say, it's getting better. that was the recovery summer of 2010. >> but romney -- there were a whole lot of people right now who want to vote for romney. want to vote against obama. but they don't want to vote for romney because of all the negatives obama's piled on them which has not been answered. they're sitting on one side waiting for permission to jump over and
rasmussen has him down by three, which is unusual. two other factors come in to play. one is the higher level of enthusiasm among republicans, 16 points higher. secondly, the undecided vote tending to go against the incumbent. so i believe that romney can come back. i think he will. i think a lot depends on the debate wednesday night. the debate is stacked to play in romney's favor. the things romney is accusing obama of owe mismanaging the economy, fast and furious, this banghazi stuff -, that...
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the rasmussen pressial tracking poll says clearly that he does. scott scores the rates romney 49% to obama's 47%. but today's gallup daily tracking poll still has the president up slightly saturday's gallup scoring the race obama 49% to romney's 46%. nowyer with reflects the current reality it is obviously a razor thin margin. so is there added pressure on the vice presidential candidates for their are thursday night debate? and who better to ask than bill kristol, the editor of "the weekly standard." was chief of staff for are then senator dan quayle during his debate against senator lloyd benson. while he probably lost the debate the bush quail ticket won the 1988 election in a landslide. how important then are vice presidential debates, bill? welcome. what do you think? >> i think this vice presidential debate is important because mitt romney won so big last week on wednesday night. the question for paul ryan is can he protect in a way mitt romney's achievement and can he consolidate it and after the romney debate after the ryan debate in a sen
the rasmussen pressial tracking poll says clearly that he does. scott scores the rates romney 49% to obama's 47%. but today's gallup daily tracking poll still has the president up slightly saturday's gallup scoring the race obama 49% to romney's 46%. nowyer with reflects the current reality it is obviously a razor thin margin. so is there added pressure on the vice presidential candidates for their are thursday night debate? and who better to ask than bill kristol, the editor of "the...
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speakable last rasmussen was obama up by one point. other polls with a different spread, but this is going to be up to the debate. this is a key state, will come down to ohio again. romney needs to ohio to win. tracy: he certainly does. here in cleveland once again, how many? speak of those who have to drive around in town get annoyed with it, but we like it because they are here and up in this state. liz: it is so nice to see you, thank you for not revealing some of those stories. i am a real journalist, a peabody award winning journalist. thank you. thank you very much. >> congratulations with everything. >liz: thank you very much. coming up in the next couple of hours we have the mayor of cleveland, frank jackson, he's a democrat. also a republican working together to make this the fourth highest state for job creation. used to be 48. how did that happen? coming up. back to you guys. tracy: i think you and bill could do the fox affiliate in cleveland. liz: he would outshine me, he always did. tracy: good stuff, thank you very much.
speakable last rasmussen was obama up by one point. other polls with a different spread, but this is going to be up to the debate. this is a key state, will come down to ohio again. romney needs to ohio to win. tracy: he certainly does. here in cleveland once again, how many? speak of those who have to drive around in town get annoyed with it, but we like it because they are here and up in this state. liz: it is so nice to see you, thank you for not revealing some of those stories. i am a real...
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looking at scott rasmussen tracking poll. this is the first poll based entirely on interviews after the debate. mitt romney had a modest debate bounce. the question is will it be a blip or lasting change. >> gretchen: look at the university of colorado forecasting model. this is interesting. this is the only model that looks at the electoral college and you need those votes to be president. 330, of the 538 map are going to mitt romney. this is the same out fit in august or september or august 22nd prediction they said the same thing. but romney picked up five more points. >> steve: what they do. they look at economics of what is going on nationally and local and state level . they look at wealth and they look at unemployment and all sorts of stuff. they predict mitt romney will win these states. new mexico and that is new since they updated it and, north carolina and win virginia ohio new hampshire colorado, wisconsin and ohio and florida and barack will win michigan and nevada. >> gretchen: i don't think that romney will win
looking at scott rasmussen tracking poll. this is the first poll based entirely on interviews after the debate. mitt romney had a modest debate bounce. the question is will it be a blip or lasting change. >> gretchen: look at the university of colorado forecasting model. this is interesting. this is the only model that looks at the electoral college and you need those votes to be president. 330, of the 538 map are going to mitt romney. this is the same out fit in august or september or...